Introduction
In today's data-driven world, quantitative analysts working in portfolio management must understand financial accounting to ensure they build models that make the best use of the information available in financial statements. Having a deep understanding of financial accounting principles enables these researchers to develop effective and reliable models for portfolio management and risk management. This comprehension empowers them to dissect and interpret the subtle clues hidden in reams of data, shaping the investment strategies they implement for their clients.
But why are financial statements so vital for portfolio managers? How do they extract, adjust, and cleanse data from these documents? And how does this information drive their decision-making process? We will attempt to explore these and more topics in this blog post.
Role of FSA in Portfolio Management
Grasping the significance of financial statement analysis (FSA) within portfolio management is an essential precursor for anyone seeking to fully leverage its advantages. Quantitative analysts in the field of portfolio management engage in financial statement analysis due to a multitude of compelling reasons:
Understanding Company Fundamentals: By conducting financial statement analysis, researchers can gain a comprehensive understanding of a company's health, performance, and operational effectiveness. This information is essential in assessing the investment potential of the company.
Valuation of Companies: Financial statement analysis is critical in developing and validating various valuation models such as Discounted Cash Flow (DCF), Price-Earnings (P/E), and Enterprise Value to EBITDA (EV/EBITDA) models, among others. This helps in determining whether a company's stock is overvalued or undervalued.
Risk Assessment: Quantitative analysts use financial statement analysis to understand and assess the financial risks associated with a company, including credit risk, liquidity risk, and operational risk.
Identification of Trends and Patterns: The analysis can reveal trends and patterns in the company's financial performance over time, offering insights into potential future performance.
Predictive Analytics: With advanced statistical methods and machine learning algorithms, quantitative analysts can use historical financial statement data to make predictions about a company's future financial performance.
Comparison Across Companies and Industries: Financial statement analysis allows for the comparison of different companies within the same industry, or across different industries. This is critical in developing investment strategies and constructing diversified portfolios.
Monitoring Performance: For portfolio managers, continually monitoring the performance of companies in their portfolio is crucial. Financial statement analysis is an essential part of this monitoring process, helping to identify any changes that may affect the value of their investments.
By integrating financial statement analysis into their work, quantitative analysts can make more informed, data-driven decisions, enhancing the performance and risk management of the portfolios they manage.
Vertical Analysis and Common Size Balance Sheets
When comparing companies, particularly those in the same industry, understanding the relative size of certain categories in their financial statements can be more important than the absolute dollar amounts. This is where vertical analysis and common size balance sheets come into play.
What is Vertical Analysis?
Vertical analysis is a method of financial statement analysis in which each entry for each of the three major categories of accounts, or line items (assets, liabilities, and equity), in a balance sheet is represented as a proportion of the total account. This makes it easier to compare companies of different sizes, which is particularly useful when comparing a company to its peers in the industry.
This same concept can be applied to income statements, where each line item is typically divided by the total sales or total revenue.
What is a Common Size Balance Sheet?
A common size balance sheet is a balance sheet where each line item is expressed as a percentage of the total assets. This can be very useful for comparing companies of different sizes, as it allows for a direct comparison of the relative size of different line items, irrespective of the size of the companies being compared.
Common Size Balance Sheet Example
Let's illustrate this with an overly simplified common size balance sheet comparison between two fictional tech companies: Tech Company 1 and Tech Company 2. Note that Tech Company 1 is exactly four times the size of Tech Company 2, however, their balance sheet structures are essentially the same as we can see from the % columns.
Tech Company 1 | Tech Company 2 | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
$ | % | $ | % | |
Cash | $4,000,000 | 22% | $1,000,000 | 22% |
Accounts Receivable (A/R) | $6,000,000 | 33% | $1,500,000 | 33% |
Inventory | $8,000,000 | 44% | $2,000,000 | 44% |
Total Assets | $18,000,000 | 100% | $4,500,000 | 100% |
Accounts Payable (A/P) | $2,000,000 | 11% | $500,000 | 11% |
Long-Term Debt | $7,200,000 | 40% | $1,800,000 | 40% |
Stockholders' Equity | $5,600,000 | 31% | $1,400,000 | 31% |
Total Liabilities | $3,200,000 | 18% | $800,000 | 18% |
Total Liabilities and Shareholders' Equity | $18,000,000 | 100% | $4,500,000 | 100% |
By comparing the % values, we can see how the companies allocate their resources differently and how efficient they are in using their assets and managing their liabilities. In the above example, Tech Company 1 happens to be exactly four times larger than Tech Company 2 and it happens to be exactly proportional in all accounts. The common size balance sheet makes this clear. This helps investors make more informed decisions by providing a clearer understanding of a company's financial health and efficiency relative to other comparable companies.
Horizontal Analysis: Decoding Trends Over Time
In addition to the vertical analysis discussed above, another essential method for understanding a company's financial health and performance is horizontal analysis. Just as the name suggests, this type of analysis involves a line-by-line comparison of a company's financial statements over time. It focuses on trends and changes in financial data, providing valuable insights into a company's growth, performance, and strategic direction.
What is Horizontal Analysis?
Horizontal analysis, also known as trend analysis, is a method of financial statement analysis in which the absolute change, percentage change, or compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of each line item is calculated from the base year to the subsequent years. It reveals patterns in the financial data over time, uncovering trends that may not be apparent from a single year's figures.
How Does Horizontal Analysis Add Value?
Horizontal analysis adds value in several ways:
- Identifies Trends: By comparing financial data across multiple periods, horizontal analysis helps to identify trends and patterns in a company's performance. This can be useful for forecasting future performance and identifying potential opportunities or risks.
- Unveils Growth Rates: Horizontal analysis can highlight the growth rates of various line items over time, providing insights into the areas where the company is improving or struggling.
- Facilitates Benchmarking: Companies can use horizontal analysis to compare their performance against industry benchmarks or competitors, identifying areas of strength or weakness.
Example of Horizontal Analysis
For a simplified example, let's say we're analyzing the revenue growth of Tech Company 1 over the past three years. Here's what the horizontal analysis might look like:
Year | Revenue | % Change |
---|---|---|
Year 1 | $10,000,000 | N/A |
Year 2 | $12,000,000 | 20% |
Year 3 | $14,400,000 | 20% |
Typically 10-K financial statements will include the current fiscal year and the previous two fiscal years, making horizontal analysis simple for many areas of interest. Using horizontal analysis, we can also extract numerous periods of financial data from statements and construct our own analysis of the evolution of areas of interest over time.
In the above table, albeit vertical rather than a more common horizontal evolution of time, we can see that Tech Company 1's revenue has grown by 20% annually for the past two years, indicating consistent and robust growth. This information would not be as clear without performing a horizontal analysis, showcasing why this method is a critical part of comprehensive financial statement analysis.
Financial Ratios
Quantitative analysts/developers use different categories of financial ratios, which are derived from financial statement data, as key metrics in their analyses. Each of these categories of financial ratios provides different, but complementary, perspectives on a company's financial performance and health. By examining these ratios as part of their financial statement analysis, quantitative researchers/analysts/developers can gain a comprehensive understanding of the company's financial position and its future potential, enabling them to make informed, data-driven investment decisions.
Liquidity/Solvency Ratios
Liquidity/Solvency Ratios, such as the Current Ratio or Debt-to-Equity Ratio, provide insights into a company's ability to meet its short-term and long-term obligations. These ratios are crucial for assessing the financial risk associated with a company, one of the key reasons why researchers perform financial statement analysis. A company with poor liquidity or high leverage may face difficulties repaying its debts, which could negatively impact the value of an investment.
The following are some important liquidity/solvency ratios commonly used by quantitative analysts/developers:
- Current Ratio: Measures a company's ability to pay short-term obligations. It is calculated as \(\frac{\text{Current Assets}}{\text{Current Liabilities}}\).
- Quick Ratio (Acid-Test Ratio): Similar to the current ratio, but excludes inventory from current assets, providing a stricter measure of liquidity. It is calculated as \(\frac{\text{Current Assets - Inventory}}{\text{Current Liabilities}}\).
- Cash Ratio: The most conservative liquidity ratio, considering only cash and cash equivalents against current liabilities. It is calculated as \(\frac{\text{Cash + Cash Equivalents}}{\text{Current Liabilities}}\).
- Financial Leverage Ratio: Indicates the extent to which a company is using debt to finance its assets. It is calculated as \(\frac{\text{Average Total Assets}}{\text{Average Total Equity}}\).
- Debt-to-Equity Ratio: Measures the financial leverage of a company by comparing its total debt to shareholders' equity. It is calculated as \(\frac{\text{Total Debt}}{\text{Shareholders' Equity}}\).
- Debt Ratio: Indicates the proportion of a company's assets that are financed by debt. It is calculated as \(\frac{\text{Total Debt}}{\text{Total Assets}}\).
- Equity Ratio: Measures the proportion of total assets funded by shareholders' equity. It is calculated as \(\frac{\text{Shareholders' Equity}}{\text{Total Assets}}\).
- Debt Service Coverage Ratio: Measures a company's ability to cover its debt payments with its operating income. It is calculated as \(\frac{\text{Operating Income}}{\text{Total Debt Service}}\).
- Times Interest Earned Ratio: Measures a company's ability to meet its interest obligations from its operating income. It is calculated as \(\frac{\text{Operating Income}}{\text{Interest Expense}}\).
- Cash Flow to Debt Ratio: Measures a company's ability to cover its total debt with its cash flow from operations. It is calculated as \(\frac{\text{Cash Flow from Operations}}{\text{Total Debt}}\).
Profitability Ratios
Profitability Ratios, including the Gross Margin Ratio, Return on Equity, and Net Profit Margin, help researchers understand a company's ability to generate profits from its operations. These ratios directly relate to the fundamental analysis aspect of their work, as they reflect the company's operational efficiency, cost management, and overall financial health. High profitability ratios could suggest strong potential for future growth, affecting the company's valuation and the investment decision-making process.
- Gross Margin Ratio: Shows the proportion of money left over from revenues after accounting for the cost of goods sold. It is calculated as \(\frac{\text{Revenue - Cost of Goods Sold}}{\text{Revenue}}\).
- Operating Margin Ratio: Measures how much profit a company makes on a dollar of sales, after paying for variable costs of production. It is calculated as \(\frac{\text{Operating Income}}{\text{Revenue}}\).
- Net Profit Margin: Shows the percentage of revenue that a company keeps as profit after deducting all costs. It is calculated as \(\frac{\text{Net Profit}}{\text{Revenue}}\).
- Return on Assets (ROA): Shows how efficiently a company uses its assets to generate profit. It is calculated as \(\frac{\text{Net Income}}{\text{Total Assets}}\).
- Return on Equity (ROE): Measures the financial performance by dividing net income by shareholders' equity. It is calculated as \(\frac{\text{Net Income}}{\text{Shareholders' Equity}}\).
- Return on Invested Capital (ROIC): Indicates how effectively a company uses the money invested in its operations. It is calculated as \(\frac{\text{Net Income - Dividends}}{\text{Total Invested Capital}}\).
- Earnings per Share (EPS): Calculates the portion of a company's profit allocated to each outstanding share of common stock. It is calculated as \(\frac{\text{Net Income - Dividends on Preferred Stock}}{\text{Average Outstanding Shares}}\).
- Price-Earnings Ratio (P/E): Measures the price paid for a share relative to the annual net income earned by the firm per share. It is calculated as \(\frac{\text{Market Value per Share}}{\text{Earnings per Share (EPS)}}\).
- Return on Capital Employed (ROCE): Indicates how effectively a company uses its capital and gives an idea of the company's profitability and efficiency. It is calculated as \(\frac{\text{Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT)}}{\text{Capital Employed}}\).
- Dividend Yield: Shows how much a company returns to shareholders in the form of dividends. It is calculated as \(\frac{\text{Annual Dividends per Share}}{\text{Price per Share}}\).
Efficiency Ratios
Efficiency Ratios, such as Inventory Turnover or Receivables Turnover, indicate how effectively a company utilizes its assets and manages its liabilities. From the perspective of a quantitative analysts, these ratios provide valuable insights into the operational performance of the company, playing a key role in trend identification and prediction. For example, a decrease in the company's inventory turnover ratio might indicate slowing demand for its products, signaling potential future declines in revenue and profitability.
- Inventory Turnover Ratio: Measures how quickly a company sells its inventory within a given time period. It is calculated as \(\frac{\text{Cost of Goods Sold}}{\text{Average Inventory}}\).
- Receivables Turnover Ratio: Indicates how effectively a company collects its debts and extends credit to its customers. It is calculated as \(\frac{\text{Net Credit Sales}}{\text{Average Accounts Receivable}}\).
- Asset Turnover Ratio: Measures how efficiently a company uses its assets to generate sales. It is calculated as \(\frac{\text{Net Sales}}{\text{Average Total Assets}}\).
- Fixed Asset Turnover Ratio: Indicates how efficiently a company is using its fixed assets to generate sales. It is calculated as \(\frac{\text{Net Sales}}{\text{Average Net Fixed Assets}}\).
- Days Sales in Inventory (DSI): Estimates the average number of days that inventory is held before being sold. It is calculated as \(\frac{\text{365}}{\text{Inventory Turnover Ratio}}\).
- Days Sales Outstanding (DSO): Measures the average number of days it takes a company to collect payment after a sale has been made. It is calculated as \(\frac{\text{365}}{\text{Receivables Turnover Ratio}}\).
- Days Payable Outstanding (DPO): Shows the average number of days it takes for a company to pay its suppliers. It is calculated as \(\frac{\text{365}}{\text{Payables Turnover Ratio}}\).
- Cash Conversion Cycle: Measures how long a firm will be deprived of cash if it increases its investment in resources to expand customer sales. It is calculated as \( \text{DSO} + \text{DSI} - \text{DPO}\).
- Operating Cycle: Measures the time between purchasing the inventory and receiving cash from selling the inventory. It is calculated as \( \text{DSO} + \text{DSI}\).
- Total Asset Turnover Ratio: Indicates how efficiently a company uses all of its assets to generate revenue. It is calculated as \(\frac{\text{Net Sales}}{\text{Average Total Assets}}\).
How Changes in Values Impact Ratios
An important concept in financial statement analysis involves understanding how changes in values, such as net income or total equity, will impact a given financial ratio. This can sometimes result in unintuitive discontinuities in trends where there are changes in the sign of a ratio or division by zero issues that need to be handled.
The following is an overview of things to consider when interpreting the change in a ratio and what that might mean for a change in the underlying values or vice versa.
Numerator Increases - the value of the ratio will increase.
Numerator Decreases - the value of the ratio will decrease.
Denominator Increases - the value of the ratio will decrease.
Denominator Decreases - the value of the ratio will increase.
Numerator and Denominator Increase by Same Amount (ratio > 1) - the value of the ratio will decrease.
Numerator and Denominator Decrease by Same Amount (ratio > 1) - the value of the ratio will increase.
Numerator and Denominator Increase by Same Amount (ratio < 1) - the value of the ratio will increase.
Numerator and Denominator Decrease by Same Amount (ratio < 1) - the value of the ratio will decrease.
One way to remember the impact of an equal increase or decrease in the numerator and denominator is that:
- An equal increase (in numerator and denominator) pushes the ratio in the direction of the value of one regardless of the starting value of the ratio, as long as the starting ratio's numerator and denominator are positive.
- An equal decrease (in numerator and denominator) pushes the ratio in the opposite direction of the value of one, regardless of the starting value of the ratio, as long as the starting ratio's numerator and denominator are positive.
However, there is an issue with this. If the starting numerator and denominator are not both positive, then it is a little more complicated. And there is an important catch I mention below regarding the magnitude of the equal change in numerator and denominator.
If the starting numerator and denominator are both negative, then equal increase means away from 1, which is just the opposite of both being positive. e.g. In the original ratio Net Income is negative and Equity is positive.
If the starting numerator < 0 and starting denominator > 0, then equal increase means towards 1.
If the starting numerator > 0 and starting denominator < 0, then equal increase means away from 1.
So this can all be summarized as:
- Starting num and den are positive, equal increase, towards 1.
- Starting num < 0 and den > 0, equal increase, towards 1.
- Staring num and den are negative, equal increase, away from 1.
- Staring num > 0 and den < 0, equal increase, away from 1.
We can see that 1 and 2 are the same and 3 and 4 are the same.
So this can further be summarized as:
- Starting num and den both positive or num < 0 and den > 0, equal increase, towards 1.
- Staring num and den both negative or num > 0 and den < 0, equal increase, away from 1.
One important catch here is that if the magnitude and direction of the equal change in numerator and denominator is greater than either the numerator or denominator, then there can be one sign change, and if greater than both numerator and denominator, then there can be up to two sign changes. This can result in initially decreasing/increasing and then reversing and increasing/decreasing. See the first column of the table below for an example of this where as n goes from zero to 8 the ratio decreases from 0.5 to -1.5, and then as the equal changes in the numerator and denominator continue to decrease there is second sign change and discontinuity at 10 and then at n=15 the value finanial ratio is 2.0 (an increase).
Going into further detail of the third bullet point I just made, such as when the amount of change causes either the numerator or denominator to change the sign of the ratio.
For example (see the first column of the below table), such as if the existing ROE had net income = +5 and Equity of +10. In this case the ROE would be 0.5. If the subsequent change in net income were -8, then the sign of the ratio would change and the new ratio would be -1.5 (a decrease as expected). But if the decrease were -15, then the sign would change twice, the new ratio would be +2.0, and this would be an increase.
So we need to be careful to consider when the magnitude of the equal change in the numerator or denominator is great enough to change the sign of the numerator or denominator. While this may be an impractical example, this may arise with some other ratios where it could be a plausible case.
Ultimately, after sign changes or not:
\[\lim_{{n \to \infty}} \frac{a + n}{b + n} = \lim_{{n \to \infty}} \frac{a - n}{b - n} = 1\]The following table demonstrates how a financial ratio that has a starting values of either \(\frac{5}{10} = 0.5\) or \(\frac{10}{5} = 2.0\) are affected by an equal change of \(n\) in the numerator and denominator. We can see that at the value of \(n=5\) and \(n=10\) there are sign changes and in two cases discontinuities.
Starting Ratio | < 1 | > 1 | ||
---|---|---|---|---|
Starting Numerator | 5 | 5 | 10 | 10 |
Starting Denominator | 10 | 10 | 5 | 5 |
Direction Relative to 1 | Away | Towards | Towards | Away |
Num/Den Equal Direction | Decrease (-n) | Increase (+n) | Increase (+n) | Decrease (-n) |
n | S1: \(\frac{(a - n)}{(b - n)}\) | S2: \(\frac{(a + n)}{(b + n)}\) | S3: \(\frac{(a + n)}{(b + n)}\) | S4: \(\frac{(a - n)}{(b - n)}\) |
0 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 2.00 | 2.00 |
1 | 0.44 | 0.55 | 1.83 | 2.25 |
2 | 0.38 | 0.58 | 1.71 | 2.67 |
3 | 0.29 | 0.62 | 1.63 | 3.50 |
4 | 0.17 | 0.64 | 1.56 | 6.00 |
5 | 0.00 | 0.67 | 1.50 | \(\pm \infty\) |
6 | (0.25) | 0.69 | 1.45 | (4.00) |
7 | (0.67) | 0.71 | 1.42 | (1.50) |
8 | (1.50) | 0.72 | 1.38 | (0.67) |
9 | (4.00) | 0.74 | 1.36 | (0.25) |
10 | \(\pm \infty\) | 0.75 | 1.33 | 0.00 |
15 | 2.00 | 0.80 | 1.25 | 0.50 |
50 | 1.13 | 0.92 | 1.09 | 0.89 |
100 | 1.06 | 0.95 | 1.05 | 0.95 |
1000 | 1.01 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.99 |
10000 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |
Similar tables could be created for the cases when:
- the starting numerator < 0 and starting denominator < 0,
- the starting numerator < 0 and starting denominator > 0,
- the starting numerator > 0 and starting denominator < 0,
As described above, we would find different behavior for these cases before and after the boundaries that result in a sign changes.
The main point behind all of this is that an automated system (or a person carrying out such calculations) that calculates financial ratios needs to consider cases where there can be division by zero as well as the meaning behind sign changes in trends of ratios.
The following chart shows the inflection points that occur at 5 and 10 for the equal changes in numerator and denominator for the S1 and S4 scenarios from the above chart. It can be seen that the S1 (red) and S4 (purple) lines diverge, where the purple explodes to infinity as n increases to 5, changes sign and then returns from negative infinity with another inflection point at n=10 and then converges to one as n increases. The S1 line has an inflection point at n=5 and then diverges to negative infinity as it increases to n=10 and then returns from positive infinity after moving past n=10 and like the others converges to one.
DuPont Analysis: Unveiling the Drivers of Return on Equity
When assessing a company's financial health and efficiency, few metrics are as powerful and versatile as the Return on Equity (ROE). However, ROE alone only provides part of the picture. To understand the drivers behind ROE, we turn to DuPont Analysis - a methodology that decomposes ROE into multiple components, providing us with a more comprehensive view of a company's performance.
What is DuPont Analysis?
DuPont Analysis is a financial performance framework introduced by the DuPont Corporation in the 1920s. It breaks down Return on Equity (ROE) into three components: Profit Margin, Total Asset Turnover, and Financial Leverage. This breakdown provides a more detailed look at how a company is performing and what's driving its ROE.
The DuPont Identity
The DuPont Identity expresses the ROE as follows:
\[ \text{ROE} = \text{Net Profit Margin} \times \text{Total Asset Turnover} \times \text{Equity Multiplier} \]Where:
- Net Profit Margin: It is calculated as \(\frac{\text{Net Profit}}{\text{Sales}}\) and measures how much of each dollar in sales is left over after all expenses are paid.
- Total Asset Turnover: It is calculated as \(\frac{\text{Sales}}{\text{Total Assets}}\) and measures the efficiency with which a company uses its assets to generate sales.
- Equity Multiplier: It is calculated as \(\frac{\text{Total Assets}}{\text{Shareholders' Equity}}\) and shows the degree of financial leverage a company is using.
Why is DuPont Analysis Useful?
DuPont Analysis allows investors to understand which particular factors are contributing to a company's ROE. It does so by separating the effects of operating efficiency (Net Profit Margin), asset use efficiency (Total Asset Turnover), and financial leverage (Equity Multiplier) on the ROE. By doing this, it helps investors pinpoint strengths and weaknesses in a company's operations that might not be apparent from looking at the ROE alone.
Comparing Companies using DuPont Analysis
One of the main advantages of DuPont Analysis is its applicability in comparing companies. By decomposing ROE, DuPont Analysis allows us to make more nuanced comparisons between companies, even across different industries.
For instance, two companies may have the same ROE, but one might achieve this through high profit margins (suggesting strong pricing power or cost control), while the other might rely on high asset turnover (indicating efficient use of assets). Similarly, a company with a high degree of financial leverage may have a high ROE, but it might also carry more risk than a company with a lower ROE and less leverage.
By applying DuPont Analysis, we can distinguish these differences and make better-informed investment decisions.
DuPont Analysis is a powerful tool that extends our understanding of a company's Return on Equity. By breaking down ROE into its component parts, we can identify the specific drivers of a company's performance, allowing us to make more accurate comparisons and, ultimately, more informed investment decisions.
Importance of Adjusting Financial Statement Data for Quantitative Models
Before incorporating financial statement data into quantitative models, it is crucial for researchers to make necessary adjustments. These adjustments may already be included by your data provider; but it is essential to be aware of this concept. These adjustments help ensure that the data accurately reflects the company's financial health, allowing for more reliable comparisons between companies and more accurate investment analysis. Key reasons for making adjustments include accounting method inconsistencies, non-recurring items, and varying capital structures.
Accounting Method Inconsistencies
Companies may use different accounting methods for reporting financial information, making it challenging to compare their performance directly. Adjusting for these inconsistencies is essential to ensure accurate analysis. Examples of accounting method adjustments include:
- Inventory accounting: Companies may use the Last-In, First-Out (LIFO) or First-In, First-Out (FIFO) methods for inventory accounting. Adjusting inventory values to a consistent method ensures a fair comparison of inventory turnover and cost of goods sold across companies. In general, in times of increasing prices due to inflation, a company using LIFO will have a higher turnover ratio than a company using FIFO. For this reason it is common to identify the LIFO Reserver and adjust all companies to FIFO to ensure an accurate comparison. More detail about this can be found here: Inventory
- Depreciation methods: Companies can use different depreciation methods, such as straight-line or accelerated depreciation. Standardizing depreciation methods across companies allows for a more accurate comparison of asset utilization and capital expenditure trends. More information can be found about this here: Plant, Property & Equipment
- Revenue recognition: Companies may recognize revenue using different criteria, such as when goods are shipped or when payment is received. Adjusting revenue recognition to a uniform basis ensures a consistent comparison of revenue growth and profitability. Understanding Accrual Accounting
Non-Recurring Items
Financial statements may include non-recurring items that can distort a company's true financial performance. Adjusting for these items helps provide a clearer picture of a company's ongoing operations. Examples of non-recurring item adjustments include:
- One-time gains or losses: Adjusting for one-time gains or losses, such as the sale of a business segment or the settlement of a lawsuit, provides a more accurate representation of a company's recurring earnings power.
- Restructuring charges: Companies may incur restructuring charges when implementing cost-cutting measures or reorganizing operations. Removing these charges from financial data ensures a consistent comparison of operating performance.
- Impairment charges: Impairment charges can result from the write-down of assets or goodwill. Adjusting for these charges allows for a more accurate assessment of a company's ongoing asset utilization and profitability.
Varying Capital Structures
Companies may have different capital structures, which can affect the comparability of their financial performance. Adjusting for these differences is essential for a fair analysis. Examples of capital structure adjustments include:
- Lease accounting: Companies may finance assets using either operating or capital leases. Adjusting for these differences by capitalizing operating leases allows for a more accurate comparison of debt levels and return on assets.
- Stock-based compensation: Companies may use stock-based compensation to reward employees, which can affect reported earnings. Adjusting for stock-based compensation ensures a consistent comparison of net income and cash flow generation.
- Debt-equity conversions: Some companies may convert their debt into equity or vice versa, which can impact their capital structure. Adjusting for these conversions allows for a more accurate comparison of leverage ratios, such as debt-to-equity and interest coverage ratios.
Making adjustments to financial statement data is essential for quantitative analysts working in portfolio management. These adjustments help create a more accurate representation of a company's financial performance, allowing for better comparisons between companies and more informed investment decisions. By considering accounting method inconsistencies, non-recurring items, and varying capital structures, analysts can ensure that their quantitative models are built on reliable and consistent data.
Obtaining Public Company Financial Statements
There are multiple ways to access financial statements of public companies, and your preferred method may depend on your expertise and resources.
D.I.Y. Approach: Extracting Data Manually
Company Website: Public companies often provide financial statements in the investor relations section of their websites. These statements can be accessed in HTML, PDF, or XLS formats, depending on the company and timing.
U.S. SEC EDGAR Database: You can also find these documents on the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission's (SEC) EDGAR database at https://www.sec.gov/edgar. EDGAR typically offers financial statements in HTML and XBRL formats.
- HTML: Most filings, including financial statements, can be viewed in HTML format, which is easily navigated and read through a web browser. Users can browse the filing, view tables and charts, and read financial statements directly on the SEC's website.
- XBRL: The SEC also requires companies to submit financial statements in eXtensible Business Reporting Language (XBRL) format, a standardized, machine-readable language that simplifies the extraction and analysis of financial data. XBRL is particularly beneficial for quantitative researchers/analysts/developers who wish to download and process financial data for their models or analyses. XBRL files can be accessed on the EDGAR website, typically as a separate attachment within the filing.
The EDGAR (Electronic Data Gathering, Analysis, and Retrieval) system has been using XBRL (eXtensible Business Reporting Language) for financial statement submissions since 2009. The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) began phasing in the mandatory use of XBRL for financial statement reporting through a three-year phase-in period starting with the largest public companies.
As of now, XBRL is a standard and widely-adopted format for submitting financial statements to the SEC's EDGAR system. All public companies in the United States are required to submit their financial statements in both HTML and XBRL formats. The use of XBRL has grown in popularity not only in the U.S. but also in other countries and regions, as regulators around the world increasingly recognize the benefits of standardized, machine-readable financial data for analysis and comparison.
Utilizing Data Service Providers
Quantitative analysts can also access financial report data for use in financial models through financial data providers/platforms. These providers compile financial data from various sources, such as company filings, financial statements, and stock exchanges, presenting it in a structured and user-friendly format.
Some popular financial data providers and platforms include:
- Bloomberg Terminal: A comprehensive platform that provides financial professionals with access to real-time data, news, analytics, and trading tools. The Bloomberg Terminal is subscription-based and offers a wide range of financial data, including financial reports, company fundamentals, and market data.
- REFINITIV Eikon: A financial data platform similar to the Bloomberg Terminal, offering real-time data, news, and analytics tools. Eikon is also subscription-based and provides access to various types of financial data, including financial reports and company fundamentals.
- FactSet: A financial data and analytics provider offering access to financial reports, market data, and analytical tools. FactSet is commonly used by investment professionals and researchers for building financial models and performing financial analysis.
- Compustat: A database provided by S&P Global Market Intelligence that offers historical financial data, including company financial statements and financial ratios, for public and private companies in the United States and Canada.
- Quandl: A platform that provides access to financial, economic, and alternative data from various sources. Quandl offers both free and paid datasets, including financial reports and company fundamentals.
- WRDS (Wharton Research Data Services): A research platform and data repository that provides access to various financial databases, including Compustat, CRSP, and IBES. WRDS is primarily targeted towards academic researchers.
These platforms and providers typically offer APIs (Application Programming Interfaces) or other methods for extracting and manipulating the data, allowing researchers to easily import the data into their financial models or other analytical tools.
Understanding the Limitations of GAAP in Financial Statement Analysis
In financial analysis, GAAP (Generally Accepted Accounting Principles) is a widely adopted standard (although not the only standard) for the preparation of financial statements. However, it's crucial to note that GAAP comes with several limitations that can impair the accuracy and comprehensiveness of financial statement analysis.
Measurability: The Limits of Quantifiable Data
One inherent limitation lies in the measurability of financial information. GAAP-compliant financial statements only reflect information that can be effectively quantified and measured. However, many key factors in a business's performance and potential cannot be accurately quantified, thereby remaining invisible in the financial statements. Understanding this limitation is important for analysts to avoid an overly narrow interpretation of the company's financial health and potential.
Non-Capitalized Costs: R&D and Brand Equity Costs
Under GAAP, certain expenses such as Research and Development (R&D) costs, and brand equity costs from advertising, are not capitalized. Instead, these costs are recognized as expenses in the period they occur. This practice might distort the financial statements as it downplays the long-term benefits and value these investments can bring to a company.
Historical Costs: Outdated Reflection of Assets' Worth
GAAP tends to emphasize the use of historical costs for recording the value of assets. This means the assets are recorded at their original acquisition cost and are not updated to reflect their current market value. As a result, the balance sheet under GAAP may not accurately portray the company's actual economic value.
Challenges in Horizontal Analysis of Financial Statements
Horizontal analysis, discussed above, which is a method of analyzing financial statements over multiple reporting periods, can be greatly impaired when companies change via strategies such as Mergers & Acquisitions (M&A), R&D, and others. Without appropriate adjustments, these changes can skew the comparison and interpretation of financial data over time.
Understanding the Complexity of Conglomerate Businesses
Many companies are not pure-play, meaning they operate in various business sectors as a conglomerate. This fact can make comparisons difficult, as a single company's financial statement can reflect the performances of numerous distinct businesses. For accurate analysis, it's essential to take into account the diversity and complexity of such operations.
The Pitfalls of Relying on Ratios Alone
Ratios are commonly used tools in financial statement analysis, offering valuable insights into a company's performance. However, relying solely on ratios can provide a limited perspective. Given the complexity that makes up a firm, it is essential to look beyond the numbers for a more nuanced understanding of a company's potential.
While financial statements are indispensable tools in business analysis, it is equally important to understand their limitations. By doing so, financial analysts and investors can gain a more accurate, holistic view of a company's financial health and future potential.
Understanding Changes in Financial Statement Data
When using financial statement data in financial models, it's crucial to understand why this data can change or not be accurately attributed to the time it became public. The date-time that the financial statement data is represented to have become public knowledge can significantly vary from the date on financial statements. In some cases it may have become public before the financial statement publication date. In other cases it may have been adjusted/revised long after the financial statement was originally published. If a model is attributing the wrong time to an event then the model may not be very useful. Here are the key factors:
- Restatements: Companies may restate their financials to correct errors or misstatements, impacting the reliability and comparability of historical data.
- Timing of Disclosure: The actual timing of financial disclosures can vary, which means the data may not reflect the company's performance during the period it's supposed to represent.
- Estimates and Judgments: Financial statements contain estimates that rely on management's judgment and can be revised, altering the financial data retrospectively.
- Changes in Accounting Standards: New accounting standards or amendments can lead to restatements or reclassifications of previous financial statements.
- Seasonal Adjustments: If financial data isn't adjusted for seasonality, it might not accurately represent the company's performance.
- Audits and Reviews: Adjustments in financial statements may occur following audits or reviews.
The relevance of these factors in financial models is significant:
- Accuracy and Reliability: Financial models are only as good as the data they use. Inaccuracies or changes in financial data can lead to incorrect conclusions or forecasts.
- Comparability: Models often compare financial metrics over time or against competitors. Inconsistencies in data can impair this comparability.
- Risk Assessment: Understanding the reasons behind changes in financial data can help in assessing the risk and stability of a company.
- Decision Making: Investment and business decisions made based on these models can be significantly impacted if the underlying financial data is not reliable or timely.
Conclusion: Harmonizing Quantitative Research with Financial Accounting for a Data-Driven Future
The increasing importance of data-driven decision-making in the world of finance has created a demand for effective and reliable models. Quantitative researchers/analysts/developers working in portfolio management must have a deep understanding of financial accounting principles to develop these systems successfully. While this blog post just scratches the surface of the breadth and debth of topics one could study in financial accounting, mastering these fundamental concepts enables researchers to design more accurate and robust models for portfolio and risk management.
By understanding the implications of choices made by management regarding accounting and acknowledging the inherent complexities of financial statements, quantitative analysts can create models that are better equipped to handle uncertainty and variability. Ultimately, this expertise in financial accounting empowers researchers to translate complex financial data into actionable insights for portfolio management systems, driving investment decisions and fostering long-term success in the ever-evolving financial landscape.